My friend and I were playing a board game, where we needed to throw a dice. He needed to throw 6, and because he did not roll it 10 times in a row, I mentioned to him that the possibility that he eventually would throw a 6 would increase. He disagreed, saying that the chances always are 1/6 of throwing, and this does not change, however much you throw. I agreed with him on the 1/6 part, but not on the amount of throws. I argued that if you throw 10 times the chances of not throwing 6 are low and if you throw 11 times those chances are even lower. (Same turning it around, throwing a dice 11 times makes it statistically more possible you throw at least 1 six and so on). So hypothetically, if you throw a 1000 times, not one time throwing a 6, these chances are astronomically low. But I think I may be in the wrong, even though my theory sounds right. What am I missing here? How do dices work? My head is spinning. Please help!
submitted by /u/CMonkFish
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r/NoStupidQuestions My friend and I were playing a board game, where we needed to throw a dice. He needed to throw 6, and because he did not roll it 10 times in a row, I mentioned to him that the possibility that he eventually would throw a 6 would increase. He disagreed, saying that the chances always are 1/6 of throwing, and this does not change, however much you throw. I agreed with him on the 1/6 part, but not on the amount of throws. I argued that if you throw 10 times the chances of not throwing 6 are low and if you throw 11 times those chances are even lower. (Same turning it around, throwing a dice 11 times makes it statistically more possible you throw at least 1 six and so on). So hypothetically, if you throw a 1000 times, not one time throwing a 6, these chances are astronomically low. But I think I may be in the wrong, even though my theory sounds right. What am I missing here? How do dices work? My head is spinning. Please help! submitted by /u/CMonkFish [link] [comments]
My friend and I were playing a board game, where we needed to throw a dice. He needed to throw 6, and because he did not roll it 10 times in a row, I mentioned to him that the possibility that he eventually would throw a 6 would increase. He disagreed, saying that the chances always are 1/6 of throwing, and this does not change, however much you throw. I agreed with him on the 1/6 part, but not on the amount of throws. I argued that if you throw 10 times the chances of not throwing 6 are low and if you throw 11 times those chances are even lower. (Same turning it around, throwing a dice 11 times makes it statistically more possible you throw at least 1 six and so on). So hypothetically, if you throw a 1000 times, not one time throwing a 6, these chances are astronomically low. But I think I may be in the wrong, even though my theory sounds right. What am I missing here? How do dices work? My head is spinning. Please help!
submitted by /u/CMonkFish
[link] [comments]